Weekly Punt: Top Swans Underrated

After picking four out of five lines last week, the Weekly Punt show invariable insight into how to beat the bookmakers. The initial stake we have started with back in round 5 has more than tripled and we have four more tips for you this week. 

Despite the fact they are on top of the ladder, the Swans continued to be underrated by the punters on the line; they have beaten the line nine times this season.

This week they play against the Eagles – a team they have had the wood over on recent times. With the Eagles losing key players at the tribunal, expect an in-form and fit Swans to beat the Eagles yet again. The Swans -9.5 offered by Centrebet is the bet of the round for the second consecutive week.

The Tigers have been exceeding the expectation of most punters this season and this week they face the Suns, one of the worst performing sides on the line this year; only Collingwood and Geelong have been worse. We will take Richmond here, who need a win and percentage if they are serious about making the finals. Sportsbet are offering -37.5 for Tigers at home.

Adelaide coach Brenton Sanderson said he would be happy with a one point win this week and so would the Weekly Punt who is taking the second best team in the AFL on the line in GWS at +70.5 offered by Sportsbet. Given that the Crows could only beat GWS by 46 points at home, this game at Skoda should be closer than the expected margin.

The Lions have won four of their last six games and are unbeaten at home in their last three which included a win against West Coast. The Saints’ form has not been any better and the last time they had two wins in a row was back in round three when they took account of  The Bulldogs following up the week before, beating easy beats the Suns. The -13.5 handicap for Brisbane seems like a pretty good bet.

 

Current Betting Fund: $3,585.00. Total staked so far: $1,003.50

 

West Coast v Sydney – Handicap (-9.5) – $200 @ $1.91 Centrebet

GWS v Adelaide – Handicap (+70.5) – $150 @ $1.92 Sportsbet

Richmond v Gold Coast – Handicap (-37.5) – $100 @ $1.92 Sportsbet

Brisbane v St Kilda – Handicap (+13.5) – $100 @ $1.91 Centrebet

 

(Bet is on team in Bold)

Odds correct at time of posting

 

 

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