Last week the Weekly Punt posted a loss. Again it was not a major setback as we still managed two out of five lines, and of the three line bets that didn’t come up, in all those games the line was covered in the last quarter. A kick, or a bounce the other way and things could’ve been very different. The good news is that we always follow up with a week of profit after a weekly loss.
The Cats recent record shows they are extremely dominant against Port. Ignore the final result for The Cats last week, they should have beaten one of the inform premiership favourites in The Swans last week. The Cats are back and we are also back on their bandwagon. Centrebet is offering -49.5 on the line this week for the fit reigning premiers against the injured Port Adelaide.
Hawthorn despite been premiership favourites most of the season have been very good value on the line, beating eight lines – the second best in the league. They have really started to hit their straps with some strong wins, while Carlton has lost five of its last six games. With The Blues still with significant outs, Hawthorn should be better than the -22.5 handicap offered by Betfair.
Collingwood may have almost lost and Fremantle may have almost won in their respective games last week, but Collingwood at home with their excellent record against The Dockers, we expect that Collingwood will win even more comfortably than the -38.5 handicap offered by Sportsbet this week.
GWS last week were showed up by Melbourne, and it appears that their season may be finally hitting the young talent hard. The Swans are in winning form and are starting games better than anyone this season. With another fast start expect the game to blow out more than the -66.5 offered by Centrebet.
The Suns languish on the bottom of the ladder with no wins and have only beaten the lines four times this year. With significant outs for The Gold Coast, expect West Coast to dominate the game at home. The handicap of -66.5 for The Eagles this week is a sound bet.
Brisbane has now started to hit some form and are looking now a tough opponent at the Gabba, with Melbourne’s significant outs expect The Lions to beat the line for the third consecutive week (most teams this year have done so) of -26.5 offered by Sportsbet.
With The Bombers now having an almost fully fit side against Bulldogs who are now out of form, -29.5 handicap offered by Sportsbet should be covered by Essendon this week.
Current Betting Fund: $2,697 Total staked so far: $1,003.5
Geelong v Port Adelaide – Handicap (-49.5) – $200 @ $1.91 Centrebet
Hawthorn v Carlton – Handicap (-22.5) – $200 @ $1.96 Betfair
Collingwood v Fremantle – Handicap (-38.5) – $150 @ $1.92 Sportsbet
Sydney v GWS – Handicap (-66.5) – $150 @ $1.91 Centrebet
West Coast v Gold Coast – Handicap (-69.5) – $150 @ $1.92 Sportsbet
Essendon v Western Bulldogs – Handicap (-29.5) – $100 @ $1.92 Sportsbet
Brisbane v Melbourne – Handicap (-26.5) – $100 @ $1.92 Sportsbet
(Bet is on team in Bold)
Odds correct at time of posting. Latest odds at odds.BigFooty.com