Weekly Punt: Bet On the Fittest

Last week we tipped three out of five lines correct, along with tipping correctly for Richmond against Sydney head-to-head and therefore we increase our profits for another week.

This week there have been several changes to the teams which have influenced our line betting.

The Bulldogs have paid out on the line the last three weeks in a row. They have hit good form while The Suns in contrast have hit a form slump. With several key players out for The Suns this week, expect The Doggies to give them a thumping.

Sydney has not performed well for tipsters the last two weeks but they get LRT back in the team. And while Melbourne get some important players back they have only paid out on the line twice this year and probably should have lost by 100 points last week. The Swans should be better than a 40 point margin at home.

The Hawks play Fremantle this week at Aurora. Most are expecting a close game with Ross Lyon’s tactics but Hawthorn have almost a full squad to pick and have finally hit form. They should easily win by more than five goals with Gibson back.

St Kilda last week beat then premiership favourite Carlton and the week before they were in the game till the last quarter against the new premiership favourite in Hawthorn.

West Coast on the other hand, struggled last week against new competition fancy Essendon and while they get a few key players back, The Eagles have not paid on the line in their last four games. All of sudden St Kilda on the line looks very good.

Your probably wondering why we are taking Brisbane on the line against GWS who have paid out on the line more than any other team this year. GWS played their Grand Final last week, several players are out and therefore expect a drop off in performance. In contrast Brisbane and Voss know they must win this at all costs. Lions last time they paid out on the line they thrashed Gold Coast, expect the same here.

Many are expecting Carlton vs Adelaide to be a tight contest. Carlton gets key players back this week while Adelaide loses to suspension the Coleman leader in Taylor Walker. Carlton will be breathing fire after their poor performance last week. They should be better than the -15.5 handicap offered at home.

Current Betting Fund: $1030. Total staked so far: $779.5

Sydney v Melbourne – Handicap (-40.5) – $200 @ $1.92 Sportsbet

Western Bulldogs v Gold Coast – Handicap (-33.5) – $200 @ $1.92 Sportsbet

Hawthorn v Fremantle – Handicap (-28.5) – $200 @ $1.92 Betfair

West Coast v St Kilda – Handicap (+17.5) – $150 @ $1.95 Betfair

Brisbane v GWS – Handicap (-30.5) – $150 @ $1.97 Betfair

Carlton v Adelaide – Handicap (-15.5) – $100 @ $1.92 Sportsbet

(Bet is on team in Bold)

Odds correct at time of posting

 

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